Developing a Basic Financial Model - Part VI - Long-Term Assets

In continuing in our series of fundamentaldepreciate $80,000,000 over a 20-year period, or
concepts of financial modeling, and after taking a$4,000,000 depreciation expense per year. From
quick break to discuss the cash conversion cycle,a modeling perspective, it is easy to do an explicit
I will now turn to another initial step ofdepreciation calculation based on the accounting
understanding how to forecast financialtimeframes.
information. It is important that the reader hasCompanies build up the PP&E category
some familiarity of the three major financialthrough capital expenditures ("CapEx"). CapEx can
statements (income statement, balance sheet andeither be improvements to existing equipment or
cash flow statement) that I covered in the priornew equipment purchases. To determine the
three articles. If not, please read those first prioramount of forecasted CapEx, there are two
to continuing.methods: explicit time horizon or ratio. Under the
Long-Term Assetsexplicit time horizon, the financial modeler would
The most common long-term asset for manyhave specific information on the spending needs
industrial or manufacturing companies is property,of a company. For example, assume that the
plant and equipment ("PP&E"), also referredmanagement team must spend $30 million equally
to in certain cases as fixtures, furniture, fixturesover the next three years to upgrade existing
and equipment. PP&E is a category on theequipment. In this case, you know that $10 million
balance sheet that typically captures large piecesper year will be spent. If you do not know the
of equipment used to generate products. Forexact amount, you would use a ratio to
example, a car manufacture would include all ofdetermine total CapEx, like a percentage of
the assembly line equipment like conveyor belts,revenue. Let's assume that over the past few
robotic arms, power drills and lifts, etc., in thisyears a company has spend 5% of total sales in
category. Also computers, desks, chairs, leaseholdCapEx. Barring some specific news of the future,
improvements, land and buildings would be includedyou might assume that the 5% ratio would hold
in PP&E. In most financial statements, afor the foreseeable future. Another way some
company lists both gross PP&E and netfinancial modelers will forecast CapEx, particularly
PP&E. The gross amount is the actual totallyfor a company in the mature stage of business, is
dollar amount a company paid for all of itsto have CapEx equal depreciation. This way, the
equipment and the net amount represents thenet PP&E will stay the same over the
book value of those same items afterforecasted horizon. Whichever method you
depreciation is included.choose to use should just make sense from an
What is depreciation? Depreciation is a means tohistorical performance analysis as well as
try to establish useful lives for various assetsincorporating future expectations.
based on both accounting standards and the taxAnother common long-term asset is goodwill,
code, which have different approaches. Forwhich is an intangible asset. Goodwill arises when
example, a computer may have a five-year assetone company buys another company for a value
life for both accounting and tax purposes, but athat is in excess of the net asset value. This
company car might be depreciated over 10 years"extra" value is, presumably, related to the
for accounting and five years for tax purposes. Itpositive intangible aspects of running a successful
is not uncommon to have assets classes withbusiness, and the amount is placed on the balance
disparate timeframes between GAAP and taxsheet at goodwill. The current accounting rules for
methods. The Financial Accounting Standardsgoodwill dictate that the total amount be
Board regulates GAAP, which constitutes the rulesevaluated periodically for potential decreases in
for accounting methods and the IRS is thevalue. If there is a determination that the goodwill
regulatory agency behind the tax code. Theseaccount is higher than it should be, the goodwill is
two entities have different rules for governingconsidered impaired and a write-down is required.
depreciation methods and a general understandingFor financial models with a short forecast horizon
of the differences is important prior to developing(three to five years), the goodwill is rarely
a financial model. Further, some analyses may getadjusted. Other intangible assets include patents,
into very complex tax code understanding, so iftrademarks, copyrights, etc. and there are specific
your project calls for a deep dive into the taxtime periods by which these categories are
impact of decisions, you should have a resourceamortized (amortization is depreciation but for
to address those questions. In many instances ofintangible assets). Patents are generally amortized
simple financial modeling, however, the bookover their legal life, trademarks, while technically
method and the tax method are left the sameindefinite, are amortized over their useful lives,
and much of the aforementioned differencesand copyrights are amortized over a time period
become moot.reflective of the costs to obtain such copyright.
To keep everything simple, financial modelers willFrom a financial modeling perspective, there
take the entire net PP&E amount and useaccounts are very straightforward and require
what is called "straight line" depreciation, orlittle to no adjustment over the forecast horizon.
subtract the same depreciation amount fromThere are other long-term assets, like deferred
PP&E each year. For example, if thetaxes, long-term investments and various prepaid
beginning total was $100,000,000 and accountingrights. The category most spend time getting
rules dictate that the assets are depreciable overright, however, is PP&E. It is of paramount
a 20-year period, the depreciation would beimportance that you have a basic understanding
$5,000,000 per year, if there is no "residual value"of depreciation methodologies and CapEx rationale
(residual value, or salvage value, refers to thein order to correctly forecast PP&E. The
amount one thinks an asset would be worth atvast majority of the other long-term assets are
the end of the useful life to a company and thismuch easier to model and once the PP&E
value does not exist for tax purposes). If there iscalculations are conquered, the rest of the
a residual value of $20,000,000, you wouldlong-term assets will seem like child's play.